Are you weighing when and where to source your next lot pipeline around Austin? If you are targeting the exurban corridors, the right move comes down to timing utilities, permits, and absorption with realistic expectations. You need a clear view of pricing dynamics, delivery timelines, and risk levers so you can plan capital and schedule closings with confidence. This guide gives you the signals to track, timelines to model, submarket differences to consider, and practical steps to de-risk acquisitions. Let’s dive in.
Market drivers to watch
Strong in-migration and limited inner-ring supply are pushing development outward into the exurbs. Builders look to the north corridor along 183A, US‑183, and I‑35 and to the west and southwest corridor along US‑290 and SH‑71 for larger sites and lower land cost per acre.
Focus on measurable demand signals:
- New single-family permits and community launches in target jurisdictions.
- Months supply and median new-home list price from local market stats.
- Population and household growth at the county level across Travis, Williamson, Hays, and Blanco.
- School district enrollment projections and planned campuses in your submarket.
- TxDOT roadway projects that change commute times or access.
Use these inputs to scope price bands, product types, and realistic sales velocity before you write an offer.
Pricing and deal dynamics
Exurban land trades on both a per-acre and per-lot basis. Values swing with proximity to highways, utility availability, school district boundaries, and achievable density.
- Entitled lots or recorded final plats with utilities often trade at a premium but reduce timing and carry risk.
- Raw acreage is cheaper per acre but requires capital, expertise, and time to convert to buildable lots.
- In tighter capital markets, joint ventures between landowners, builders, and capital partners can share entitlement costs and risk.
When you underwrite, track both the purchase price per acre and your all-in cost per lot after entitlement, infrastructure, fees, and carry. Build in contingencies for soft costs, sitework surprises, and longer hold periods.
Absorption and lot yield
Absorption varies by community, price point, and product. Base your expectations on comp communities within a 5 to 10 mile radius and the same price band.
- Launch cadence: plan a 6 to 18 month ramp from record plat to first closings when roads and utilities move together. Add time if you need a utility district or offsite extensions.
- Stabilized absorption: many healthy exurban communities sell dozens to low hundreds of homes per year across all builders. Smaller focused projects may sell 50 to 150 per year, while large master plans can exceed that.
- Phasing: initial phases often deliver 50 to 200 lots over 12 to 36 months, with later phases scheduled after acceptance and sales traction.
Model slower absorption scenarios, especially in higher interest rate environments or where amenities lag.
Entitlement steps and timing
Plan your calendar conservatively. Typical steps include:
- Pre-development due diligence: environmental, geotech, traffic scoping, and utility capacity.
- Concept or preliminary plat and development plan submittal to the county or city, including ETJ considerations.
- Engineering approvals for roads, drainage, grading, and erosion control plans.
- Utility agreements and capacity commitments for water and wastewater.
- Final plat review and recordation with the county clerk.
- Construction of public improvements: roads, water, sewer, and stormwater systems.
- Final inspection and acceptance, then release of lots for building permits.
Practical timing ranges for exurban Austin:
- Due diligence: 1 to 3 months.
- Preliminary plat approval: 2 to 6 months, sometimes longer with multiple agencies.
- Final plat and bonding: 3 to 9 months after engineering revisions.
- Public improvements: 6 to 18 months or more, depending on scope and offsite work.
Total time from raw land contract to buildable lots is commonly 9 to 36 months. Many projects cluster in the 12 to 24 month range when utilities and approvals are straightforward. If you need a Municipal Utility District, TxDOT access permits, or environmental mitigation, add 6 to 18 months.
Utilities, access, and finance
Water and wastewater are the primary gating items. Your options include connecting to a city system, tapping a private provider, building a centralized plant, or using wells and septic for interim phases.
- MUDs: Common in fast-growing exurban areas. They enable bond financing for water, sewer, and roads but require legal, engineering, and election steps that add time.
- Roads and access: Offsite improvements and state highway intersections can be expensive and slow. Factor potential cost sharing and impact fee negotiations into your plan.
- Stormwater and environment: Hill Country terrain can increase grading and stormwater costs. Floodplains and creek setbacks reduce net yield.
- Financing: Lenders offer better leverage and pricing on entitled lots than raw land. Expect higher rates, more equity, and tighter covenants for acreage. JVs and phased purchases can preserve capital and share risk.
Key cost lines to model with contingencies:
- Offsite utility extensions per lot.
- Sewer strategy: gravity lines, lift stations, or decentralized plant.
- Road construction per linear foot and per lot.
- Stormwater detention and best management practices.
- Impact and tap fees by utility provider.
- Soft costs: engineering, legal, survey, permitting, bonds.
- Carry: taxes, insurance, interest, maintenance, HOA and legal.
North vs west corridor
Each corridor offers different strengths and constraints. Fit your product and capital plan accordingly.
- North corridor: Leander, Liberty Hill, and Jarrell benefit from direct access via 183A, US‑183, and I‑35. You will find active lot pipelines and familiarity with MUDs. Utility capacity can be a constraint, and competition for entitled tracts rises in stronger cycles.
- West corridor: Dripping Springs, Bee Cave, Lakeway, and Spicewood offer Hill Country and lake lifestyle appeal with potential for higher price points. Expect complex terrain, more environmental considerations, and higher site development costs. Utility solutions can be expensive and approvals may take longer.
Tip: North often supports higher-volume single-family product at moderate price tiers. West can support premium pricing with slower absorption and higher development costs.
Underwriting checklist
Before you commit to a tract, confirm the fundamentals:
- Market comps: recent new-home sales, lot sales, and inventory in your target price band.
- Physical constraints: FEMA flood zones, slope, critical environmental features, tree preservation, and geotech.
- Utilities: provider, capacity letters, MUD potential, and fee schedules for taps and impact fees.
- Access: existing roads, required TxDOT or county permits, and any offsite obligations.
- Entitlement path: required approvals, typical review cycles, and public hearing calendars.
- Local landscape: recent rezoning or platting outcomes and staff bandwidth for reviews.
Stress test your model with a conservative schedule. Use 1.5 to 2 times your optimistic timeline, include a 15 to 30 percent contingency on sitework, and cut first-year sales velocity to 50 to 75 percent of base case.
Acquisition structures
Match your risk tolerance and cash flow to the right structure:
- Purchase entitled lots to reduce timing risk and carry, accepting a higher price.
- Use option agreements so the seller holds title while you secure key approvals.
- Form a joint venture to share entitlement costs and infrastructure risk.
- Set phased closings tied to milestones such as record plat or infrastructure acceptance.
These tools align payments with progress and protect your downside if schedules slip.
Delivery calendar example
Use a milestone calendar to plan cash and schedule. A practical sequence looks like this:
- Month 0: Sign contract and begin due diligence for 60 to 90 days.
- Months 3 to 6: Submit preliminary plat and negotiate utility agreements.
- Months 6 to 12: Secure final plat and construction plan approvals; complete infrastructure financing.
- Months 12 to 24: Build public improvements; release first lots; launch sales.
Underwrite 12 to 30 months from contract to first substantial lot closings, depending on utility complexity and offsite work.
How we help builders act faster
If you want to control timing risk while keeping your pipeline full, you need a partner who treats land as a technical project. Land Homes Texas combines licensed brokerage with in-house civil engineering, platting, entitlement coordination, and project management to package tracts into lender-ready, buildable assets.
Here is how you can use us:
- Source and evaluate tracts in the north and west exurban corridors.
- Run feasibility, engineering, and entitlement calendars you can hand to your lender.
- Coordinate MUD feasibility, utility capacity, and offsite obligations.
- Prepare financial and due diligence packages that move you from contract to approvals with fewer surprises.
Ready to align your next acquisition with a realistic delivery timeline? Connect with our team at Land Homes Texas to Request a Feasibility Review.
FAQs
What is a realistic timeline for converting raw land to lots near Austin?
- Plan for 9 to 36 months from contract to buildable lots, with many exurban projects landing in the 12 to 24 month range when utilities and approvals are straightforward.
How do MUDs affect feasibility in Austin’s exurbs?
- MUDs can finance water, sewer, and roads, improving feasibility on large sites, but formation and bond processes add legal steps and time that you should include in your schedule.
What absorption should a small builder model north of Austin?
- Target a gradual ramp and stabilized sales of dozens to low hundreds per year across all builders, adjusting to local comps within 5 to 10 miles and your specific price band.
How do TxDOT access permits impact project schedules along 183A, US‑183, or SH‑71?
- State highway access can be a gating item, often requiring traffic studies and reviews that add several months; start scoping early and sequence with platting and engineering.
What acquisition structures help manage risk in Liberty Hill or Spicewood?
- Consider option agreements, JV structures, or phased closings tied to milestones like record plat or infrastructure acceptance to align payments with progress and reduce carry risk.